Working Paper: When the East Goes to the Poll: Explaining the Regional Differences in AfD-Voting in the 2021 Federal Election

Im neuesten Beitrag zur DNGPS Working Paper Reihe untersucht Julia Götzel regionale Unterschiede im Wahlverhalten von AfD-Wähler*innen bei der Bundestagswahl 2021.

Abstract

In the 2021 German federal election, the share of East Germans who voted for the Alternative for Germany (AfD), a radical right-wing party, was more than twice as high as the share of AfD voters in West Germany. While most scholars focus on the general determinants of AfD-voting, this paper sheds light on specific variables that could explain these east-west differences. To achieve this, I develop a two-sided argument which considers both the distribution of common AfD-voting determinants and the socialization experiences of East Germans. Multivariate regression with the 2021 GLES data reveals a remaining East bonus in AfD-voting, indicating that the distribution of voting determinants alone cannot explain the regional differences in AfD vote share. Nevertheless, this paper presents a novel structured approach to the issue.


Bibliographie: Götzel, Julia: When the East Goes to the Poll: Explaining the Regional Differences in AfD-Voting in the 2021 Federal Election, DNGPS Working Paper, 2023, S. 1-24. https://doi.org/10.3224/dngps.v9i1.01

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